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Independent research

Quantitative finance · Research tooling · 2026 · Researcher and product architect

A portfolio laboratory that keeps model risk visible

InsightThe useful output is not a single optimal allocation. It is a way to see which assumptions produced it — and how quickly it changes when the benchmark, factor model or risk objective moves.

Translucent probability membranes held at different tensions around a fine cyan signal calibrated through a glass lens.
5
Working research tools
source review
3
Allocation lenses — market, factor and adaptive
implemented scope
2
Optimisation methods compared directly
implemented scope

Try it

Move an assumption

Choose an objective, then alter benchmark pull and diversification. The allocation moves because the answer is conditional, not absolute.

Portfolio laboratory

One universe. Three different questions.

Return against risk. The cyan frontier marks the portfolios producing the most return per unit of volatility.

42%

How tightly every candidate stays anchored to the selected market portfolio.

68%

Higher values distribute risk across more independent holdings and exposures.

520 candidate portfoliosMax Sharpe
Return
12.4%
Volatility
11.3%
Sharpe
1.09
Active share
69%

The frontier moves as benchmark gravity and diversification change the feasible set. Demonstration only; no market data or investment recommendation.

01

Context

A continuing set of browser-based research tools — Alpha-Forge, AlphaMetric Core and FactorLab — built to move portfolio theory out of a notebook and into an interface where its assumptions can be inspected.

02

Problem

Portfolio optimisers are very good at producing precise weights from uncertain inputs. Presented as one answer, that precision can conceal sensitivity to expected returns, covariance, benchmark choice, frequency and the risk-free rate.

03

Insight

The model becomes more useful when the interface preserves disagreement. A maximum-Sharpe portfolio, a minimum-variance portfolio, an equal-weight baseline and a factor-aware allocation should be comparable in the same frame rather than collapsed into one recommendation.

Benchmark selection is itself an assumption. FactorLab therefore supports both a named market benchmark and an internally adaptive universe, then exposes market, size and value factor contributions alongside specific risk.

04

Strategy

Build a family of focused tools rather than a single opaque terminal. Each one starts with a different question — asset selection, portfolio efficiency or factor attribution — but shares the same demand for visible inputs, interpretable diagnostics and reversible choices.

05

System

Alpha-Forge calculates covariance, asset beta and alpha, correlation structure, tracking error, information ratio and portfolio R², then compares maximum-Sharpe, minimum-variance and equal-weight allocations.

AlphaMetric Core runs Monte Carlo portfolios and a deterministic solver side by side, with backtests that show whether the solver found a meaningful efficiency gain or only false precision. FactorLab constructs market, SMB and HML factors from the supplied universe, estimates factor betas and separates factor from specific variance before solving the allocation.

06

Outcome

Five working research tools now form a compact portfolio-construction lab. The value is not a claim to predict markets; it is a disciplined environment for asking how much of an allocation survives a change in assumptions.